Are You Prepared?
All infectious disease experts in the United States agree that the new coronavirus will infect 20-60% of the population in 18 months, how should we prepare?
Heyuan Co., Ltd. U.S. Consulting 4 days ago (that means it was published around 06/17/2020)
Fig1. Comparison of the fatalities
COVID19 is an uncontrollable virus
New coronavirus also known as COVID19, and the now infectious disease, experts agree that it is uncontrollable. The scary point of the new coronavirus is:
1. Human transmission: IN 2002 SARS and 2012 MERS viruses were controlled because they only have a strong rate of transmission between animals and people and human transmission rate is very weak, so as long as the restriction of human contact with infected animals can be effectively controlled.
2. Strong transmission: The H1N1 influenza virus in 2009 infected 1 billion people worldwide in six months, and THE COVID19 virus is a similar influenza virus, but it is more contagious than H1N1. So what we’re seeing now is the initial stage of virus infection. The Covid 19 new crown virus has come into this world, it will not disappear, it will become a part of us humans.
3. No seasonality: In general, influenza viruses are not suitable for survival in high temperatures and humidity, and in low-temperature dry climates are suitable for mass reproduction of influenza, so influenza mostly occurs in spring, and in summer outbreaks decrease, and outbreaks rise during the autumn/winter rotation. From the evidence available to date, the COVID-19 virus can be transmitted in all regions, including hot and humid regions.
This results in only two final results:
- Everyone is infected and recovers into a virus- immune status that the virus becomes part of the common seasonal cold virus. Natural immunity introduced in the UK before was the process.
- But the end result makes it the same as other coronaviruses that cause influenza. While we are seeing a decline in new cases in China now, this may only be temporary, and it is likely to rebound later. All infectious disease experts in the United States predict that 20-60% of the U.S. population will be infected with the virus within 18 months, and in the best case scenario is that 340,000 people in the U.S. will die if 20 percent of the population of the U.S. is infected and 0.5 percent dead. In less desirable circumstances, 60 per cent of the population is infected and the 1 per cent fatality rate, there will be 2,040,000 deaths.
According to the information we have collected in recent days, it is only a matter of time to conclude that infection with the virus is something that cannot be avoided. Of course, the longer you can hold on, the better the chance, because there will certainly be better treatment options in the future (mainly the development of antiviral drugs). So far, however, there are no drugs specifically designed to prevent and treat new coronaviruses.
Those infected with the virus should receive treatment for preventing conversion to severe sickness and symptoms; while patients with serious conditions should receive the best supportive treatment for all of their symptoms. Specific treatments are under study and will be tested through clinical trials. So we should be well prepared to analyze our own risks.
Fig 2. Fatality related with age.
Everyone has a different risk perception, but a fatality rate above 0.5% is already very dangerous. The chart above shows that the death risk of younger than 40 years of age is 0.2%. The death risk of 40-50 years of age is close to 1%. The death risk of 60-70 years of age is up 3.6-8%. And the death risk of over 80 years of age is as high as 14.8%. Age is on the one hand, and in the Fig 3 let’s see what else in the body is that increases the risk.
Fig 3. Fatality related with basic diseases.
The highest mortality rate for COVID19 was 10.5% for patients with cardiovascular disease, with 7.3% of the second-highest mortality rate being with diabetics, followed by 6.3% of patients with chronic respiratory diseases, 6% of patients with hypertension, 5.6% of cancer patients and 0.9% without disease. Other data also put the death rate among middle-aged men who smoked was 8-10%, compared with 2% for women who did not smoke at the same age. If you’re 50-60 and still smoke, you should start worrying about your risks. If you also have high blood sugar or high blood pressure, then you can say this is a very urgent situation.
At least we can do it:
- Wash your hands for more than 20 seconds: Studies have found that hand washing is effective in preventing viruses because the frictional effects that occur when we are washing hand, so the length of time is important. In addition, wash hands frequently with alcohol-contain washing fluid and hand sanitizer or wash your hands with soap and water. Because cleaning hands with alcohol-contained hand sanitizer or washing hands with soap and water can kill the virus on your hands.
- Avoid contact with multiple people: This is a respiratory-transmitted virus that clings to water droplets in our breathing, coughing and sneezing. Once the water droplets evaporate, the virus can no longer spread. The distance between man and man is 1-2 meters.
- Masks: it better than nothing: There is no evidence that wearing a mask is effective in preventing viral infections. This means that masks can prevent some bacteria from entering your mouth or nostrils. What’s more, it prevents your own hands from touching your mouth and nose (most people do these things subconsciously). If you’re really infected then wearing a mask can also prevent you from infecting others.
How can we be prepared:
So far, we still have almost a year to strengthen our immune system, because in a year’s time, it’s likely to affect 50 percent of the population (ideally 20 percent), and no country is safe, and it’s impossible to sustain a travel ban for a long time.
Enhanced immune base:
- Good sleep quality
- High protein, high nutritional density diet
- Exercise enhances immune base. Good sleep quality high protein, high nutritional density diet and exercise. Cold exposure (cold water), heat exposure (sauna), breathing exercise to help you relieve stress (chronic stress can lead to immune disorders).
- Supplement ion zinc (if properly used, there is great potential for a complete cure of the virus) chloroquine the only FDA-approved antiviral drug)
- Selenium (garlic, broccoli, beef, eggs, supplements) (most effective nutrition for reducing toxicity)
- probiotics (supplements) (regulating the immune system)
- Mushroom supplements (supplements) (regulating immune system)
- Vitamin A (liver) (regulating the immune system)
- Vitamin D (sunshine, supplements)
It is recommended to be well prepared, because the rain will come, do not have no umbrella at hand.
来源：漢和源株式会社 Source: Yuhe Source Co., Ltd.
Translated and edited by QCZhang
Dr. Zhang’s comment:
The article does not take Chinese medicine into account. As you can read posts of this blog, I have included many effective prevention and treatment methods of Chinese medicine in this blog. Chinese medicine had been clinically proven that it can dramatically reduce fatality and also the rate of critical sickness in Covid 19 infections.